Publications

All Forecasting & AI Mechanism design Microstructure On-chain forensics Event-linked Perps Quant strategies

Manipulation, Insider Information, and Regulation in Leveraged Event-Linked Markets

Maksym Nechepurenko · 2026 · Working Paper

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Preprint

Coordination as an Architectural Layer for LLM-Based Multi-Agent Systems: An Information-Controlled Empirical Study on Prediction Markets

Maksym Nechepurenko, Pavel Shuvalov · 2026 · arXiv preprint

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Preprint

Foresight Arena: An On-Chain Benchmark for Evaluating AI Forecasting Agents

Maksym Nechepurenko, Pavel Shuvalov · 2026 · Working Paper

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Preprint

Price as Focal Point: Prediction Markets, Conditional Reflexivity, and the Politics of Common Knowledge

Maksym Nechepurenko · 2026 · Working Paper

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Preprint